The power of the bottom up will take us still further. “The shift from hierarchy to networks, from centralized heads to decentralised webs, where sharing is the default, has been the main cutural story of the last three decades - and that story is not done yet. “In the coming 30 years the tendency toward the dematerialised, the decentralised, the simultaneous, the platform enabled, and the cloud will continue unabated…For most things in daily life, accessing will trump owning.” I get fresh produce directly from a farmer nearby, and a line of hot-ready to eat meals at the door…I have never owned any music, movies, games, books, art or realie worlds. “Flows are hard to own possession seems to just slip through your fingers. Screens will be the first place we’ll look for answers, for friends, from news, for meaning, for our sense of who we are and who we can be.” In the near future we will never be far froma screen of some sort. “We are screening at all scales and sizes - from the IMAX to the Apple Watch. We’ll come to understand that no work, no idea stands alone, but that all good, true and beautiful things are ecosystems of intertwined pasts and related entities, past and present.” A reader will be able to generate a social graph of an idea, or a timeline of a concept, or a networked map of influence for any notion in the library. “Over the next three decades, scholars and fans aided by computational algorithms, will knit together the books of the world into a single networked literature. Our civilization’s previous economy was built upon warehouses of fixed goods and factories stockpiled with solid cargo…Our attention has moved away from stocks of solid goods to flows of intangibles, like copies. So we’ll get this network of locally franchised factories, where most things will be made within five miles of where they are needed.” But as manufacturing costs sink because of robots, the costs of transportation become a far greater factor than the cost of production. “Right now we think of manufacturing as happening in China. Today automation has eliminated all but 1 per cent of their jobs, replacing them with machines….before the end of this century 70 per cent of today’s occupations will likewise be replaced by automation.” “Two hundred years ago, 70 per cent of American workers lived on the farm. Unlike the last century, nobody wants to move to the distant future. This circular expansion of both problems and solutions hides a steady accumulation of small net benefits over time.” The problems of today were caused by yesterday’s technological successes, and the technological solutions to today’s problems will cause the problems of tomorrow. Protopia is a state of becoming rather than a destination…It is incremental improvement or mild progress…It is easy to miss because a protopia generates almost as many new problems as new benefits. “But just because dystopias are cinematic and dramatic, and much easier to imagine, that does not make them likely.” Dystopias, their dark opposites are a lot more entertaining.” Understanding the 12 technological forces that will shape our future Quotes from The Inevitable by Kevin Kelly
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